New hopes or old fears for Malaysia?


December 24, 2018

New hopes or old fears for Malaysia?

by  Clive Kessler, UNSW

http://www.eastasiaforum.org/2018/12/23/new-hopes-or-old-fears-for-malaysia/

Image result for dr.mahathir mohamad

 Against the odds, and against most informed predictions, Malaysia’s 14th general elections in May 2018 produced a change of government. The Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition under Najib Razak, which had been in power since 1957, was ousted by the opposition Pakatan Harapan (PH) consortium led by Mahathir Mohamad, a now second-time Prime Minister. What had long seemed Malaysia’s permanent government was humbled, and its anchor party — the United Malays National Organisation (UMNO) — has been thrown into disarray.

The new government — a ruling bloc without a clear agenda brought together by Mahathir’s political wiliness, experience and familiarity with the Malaysian state — entered office largely unprepared. PH prevailed not upon its own political strength but as the vehicle and beneficiary of a groundswell of growing civil society activism.

In its first six months in power, PH has signalled its key intentions by unshackling the long-suborned judiciary and initiating the prosecution of those responsible for the 1Malaysia Development Berhad (1MDB) financial scandal. It has also made strong appointments to key positions, including the Attorney- General and Chair of the Election Commission.

 

Image result for anwar ibrahim

 

Speculation continues about the timing and implications of the political succession from Mahathir to Anwar Ibrahim, leader of the People’s Justice Party.

But its long-term strategic course remains vague. Speculation continues about the timing and implications of the political succession from Mahathir to Anwar Ibrahim, leader of the People’s Justice Party. Whereas Mahathir has long pulled the levers of state power, Anwar is less experienced. While Mahathir is a more single-minded promoter of Malay interests, he is viscerally a religious anti-clericalist. Anwar may be inter-communally more inclusive, but he is a soft and sentimental Islamist who has been amenable to hard Islamist influence.

Image result for the Fall Of UMNO

As the PH regime feels its way forward, its adversaries are biding their time, waiting for it to stumble. But PH has some breathing space for the moment. It is hugely benefiting from the post-election collapse of the once commanding UMNO. Many of its elected state and federal representatives are defecting to the component parties of PH. Others are gravitating towards the Malaysian Islamic Party (PAS).

But the longer-term implications of this tendency are towards the polarisation of Malaysian society and political life. There is a brutal contest between the fragmented forces of social democratic pluralism within the PH and religiously-driven Malay ethno-sectarians, made up of what is left of the UMNO and PAS.

Momentum is with the Malay ethno-sectarians. They are reviving efforts that began under Najib’s pre-election entente with PAS to gradually affirm the equal standing of the sharia and civil courts. Through new statutory reform of the civil law, they aim to increase the punishments for violations of Islamic criminal law — such as the consumption of alcohol and daytime eating during the fasting month — that the sharia courts may impose.

Such initiatives by the PAS–UMNO opposition will be used to place growing pressure on the authority of a divided, uncertain, unstable, and hesitating PH ruling bloc. The PH government arose from bottom-up mobilisation, not coherent opposition party strength. Its adversaries now seek to bring it down by recourse to far more rowdy and intimidating forms of the same strategy.

Image result for theAnti - ICERD

As 2018 ends, the new government’s will is being jointly tested by PAS and UMNO, who marked the annual UN Human Rights Day by mobilising demonstrations and street-level opposition against the PH-promised proposal to ratify the UN International Convention on the Elimination of All Forms of Racial Discrimination. PAS and UMNO argue that ratification is incompatible with the Malaysian Constitution, whereas PH says it is not.

The division here turns upon the revisionist interpretation of the Constitution that UMNO began to promote in the 1980s, when its ideologues confected the notion that entrenched within the 1957 independence constitution — as the key tenet of the nation’s founding ‘social contract’ — is the principle of Ketuanan Melayu (Malay ascendancy). This view embodies the Malay instance of so-called ethnic nationalism: the powerful political fantasy of living exclusively among one’s own people, people of one’s own kind, on one’s own preferred cultural and historical terms, undiluted and undisturbed by strangers and outsiders.

The PH government’s opponents proclaim that Islam is in peril, and that no one will save it but the Malays. They also argue that Malays, and their stake in the country, are in jeopardy and they can only be upheld through Islam. Devised to promote the UMNO–PAS entente since 2013, this rhetoric is now the theme of the growing opposition assault upon the PH government. It will provide the leitmotif of this new political era.

Clive Kessler is Emeritus Professor of Sociology and Anthropology at the University of New South Wales.

This article is part of an EAF special feature series on 2018 in review and the year ahead.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

7 thoughts on “New hopes or old fears for Malaysia?

  1. It is sad that Prof Kessler does not mention LGE’s Malaysia Malaysians’ DAP anti-ICERD stand and his disagreement with Hindraf’s Moorthy on this. Perhaps, the nons remains to be inconsequential. For the Nons, why not just vote for PAS, at least some Malays could be happier, while no one is happy with the current state, from a Utilitarian perspective, since like CLF’s reminder, equality does not matter in a backdrop of bigger environment. The complacent would be complacent. The Malays with dignity will continue to be unhappy with Tun Dr’s anti-ICERD stand. A few happy souls would be better noone being happy. Flawed as it is, it is perhaps the most pragmatic approach. For the Nons, at least there could be a Jho Low. At least he is popular amongst the stars.

  2. Me not Strict Utilitarian la, katasayang – i tend more toward’s a modified form of State Consequentalism (Mohist) with an added twist of Effective Altruism. Therefore, i see Ragheads as Ragheads, okay? PAS is PUS. Not that it matters, when it comes to PH’s naked distemper, self inflicted wounds and inappropriate ineptness.

    Octo is Old. His methods are Old. His thinking is Old. His cognitive and behavioral characteristics have not changed and will not. Now, he’s the Ultimate Utilitarian Pragmatist who can simply ‘utilize’ grandoise and desperate blokes like LKS and his progeny for a single purpose – get rid of his pet Peeve.. So yes, GE-14 was a fluke.

    The only room for dissent is when we realize that the Late Life Mortality Deceleration may be a hoax:
    https://www.livescience.com/64373-aging-forever.html

    • PH under Mahathir did not win.
      UMNO Baru LOST !

      Civil Societies of sustained truth and integrity through powerful fast progressing Science Information Technology Engineering and Mathematics( SiTEM) will win them all.

      Malaysia have no fear .
      There is new hope !

  3. UMNO Baru-PAS’ budding clerico-fascist alliance did not anticipate the
    blowback — from the East Malaysian natives.

    The path of clerico-fascism will polarise the country further. But it may also mean that UMNO Baru-PAS rule will be confined to states such as Perlis, Kedah, Kelantan, Terengganu and Pahang only.
    To rule at the federal level in multi-cultural and multi-ethnic Malaysia, you need to be
    centrist or centre-left or centre-right. You need the political support of the non-Malays of West Malaysia and the non-Muslim natives of East Malaysia.

  4. As we see a ratcheting up of religious, (Islamist), rhetoric, Malaysian style, it is ironical that 2019 is the year of the Pig for the Chinese.

    The pig holds a special position in ancient Chinese cultural traditions, and even linguistically.

    The Chinese character for “family”, 家, is a pictogram of a pig under a house roof. One would have thought it more logical, certainly environmentally more pleasant, ancient or modern, to have a human, (or several humans), under a roof to denote a family?

    There are many explanations. One says the pig was a sign of wealth for an agrarian society, (like sheep or camel were for other societies), and so having pigs within your property, (and the house is your most important property), is a sure sign, actual or potential, of wealth and therefore happiness.

    So in the ironic clash of cultures in 2019 Malaysia, where one sees the pig as an abomination and the other as a sign of wealth and happiness, we therefore can expect, without consulting Chinese astrologer, a very unsettled and unsettling 2019 Malaysia.

    Not to mention the display of pigheadedness in some politicians.

    • /// Not to mention the display of pigheadedness in some politicians. ///

      Wayne, why not go the whole hog and name those political swines and expose their hogwash? Race and religion are hogging the headlines these days. Porcine thugs are sowing ill-will and enmity among the races…..

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