India-China Relations: Give Diplomacy A Chance


July 10, 2017

India-China Relations: Give Diplomacy A Chance

By Dr. Sawraj Singh

http://thelinkpaper.ca/?p=63848

Tension between India and China is rising to a dangerous level and a military confrontation has become a real possibility. Such a conflict can prove catastrophic not only for this region but can also escalate to a Third World War. Unfortunately, Asia and the Indian Subcontinent can become an arena for the most dangerous and destructive Third World War. Before upping the ante we should also think of the most dangerous consequences which our actions can lead to. I feel that both sides are not taking this as seriously as they should. India and China are the largest countries of Asia and they have a moral responsibility to try to prevent Asia becoming arena for the Third World War.

Prime Minister Modi’s visit to America and Israel and President Xi Jinping’s visit to Russia show that the world is getting polarized and new alliances are emerging in the world. On one side America- Israel-India alliance and on the other side Russia-China –Germany alliance may emerge. The differences between America and Germany are growing and it has become a real possibility that Germany, the biggest economic power of Europe can switch sides like Turkey and join Russia to make Europe a rival of America rather than its biggest ally. If Europe switches sides then the emerging America-Israel-India can be perceived as an anti Russia anti China and anti Islamic alliance; Because Europe was always perceived as tilting toward the Palestinians (Muslims) and soft on Russia while America was seen as solidly backing Israel and vehemently anti Russia. If Europe leaves America then it will become very difficult for any Islamic country to be seen in the American camp and russia will see this alliance as anti Russia alliance.

Such a polarization of the world sets a stage for a quick escalation of India-China conflict to a Third World War. Unfortunately, Russia, the closest and the most time tested friend of India may be forced to take the opposite side. Similarly the perception of an alliance of America, Israel and India can force the Islamic countries to take the opposite side. We can already see that Iran which was at one time a close friend of India has now started to equate the situation in Kashmir to the situation in Palestine. It is not in India’s   interest to be perceived as a part of an anti Russia, anti China and anti Islamic alliance. I feel that China does not want to be dragged in a world war. Such a war will go against the policy of focusing on the economic development and developing China’s internal market. This has been the crux of China’s policy in the last three decades.

A military conflict is in nobody’s interest. Therefore, both sides should try everything to find a diplomatic and a political solution before resorting to a military confrontation. India should also try to get Russia involved in finding an amicable solution because Russia has good relations with India and China. India and China in spite of the differences have many common goals. Both the countries can only get the status they deserve in a multi-polar world rather than in the present western dominated unipolar world. Let us concentrate on our commonalities rather than our differences and give peace a chance.

Dr. Sawraj Singh, MD F.I.C.S. is the Chairman of the Washington State Network for Human Rights and Chairman of the Central Washington Coalition for Social Justice. He can be reached at sawrajsingh@hotmail.com.

 

2 thoughts on “India-China Relations: Give Diplomacy A Chance

  1. A well written position paper. The recent face-off between Indian and Chinese troops at the Sikkim section of China-India border has raised speculation over India’s real intention behind its provocation. Wangcha Sangey, a legal consultant from Bhutan, recently published an article in his blog titled “Understanding Sino-Bhutan border issues at Doklam. Search for truth,” which provides a look into the incident from the Bhutanese perspective:

    http://wangchasangey.blogspot.com/2017/07/understanding-sino-bhutan-border-issues.html

    There is absolutely no doubt that India is the provocateur. India is using Bhutan to secure New Delhi’s interest. What gives India the right to negotiate Bhutan border with China? I’ve visited Bhutan three times and know how India treats Bhutan like a colony, completely controlling the Bhutanese government and completely dictating who Bhutan can have diplomatic relations with and who not. India prevented Bhutan to have any relations with China and prohibited them from negotiating their own border with China. The Bhutanese government has no choice but to parroting whatever India says and the vast majority of the Bhutanese people really hate the Indians.

    The intentional provocation by India is like an “initiation” for joining the American-Israeli camp, doing the US a favor, so to speak. The recent meeting of Modi and Xi at the G20 summit where they simply exchanged pleasantries and nothing mentioned about the border disputes is like the calmness before a severe storm. War is very likely.

    I agree with Dr. Sawraj Singh’s perception of the alliance of America, Israel and India. On the other side of the reality check I see China, Russia, Pakistan, Turkey and Iran Superpower Circle. The brotherly relations between Turkey and Pakistan can trace their roots back several centuries. This very fact has laid the groundwork for bringing together two more nations that could benefit from a superpower circle – Russia from Turkey’s side and China from Pakistan’s side. And Iran is the nemesis to Israel as Pakistan is to India. Russia is no longer an influential friend to India since Modi took power. A most recent poll in Sputnik indicates that 70% of the Russian people see China as their most important partner.

    India was doing well as a non-aligned nation. Modi is very stupid to align with Israel to become an enemy of the Muslim world. But we are talking about an extremist/terrorist who was once barred from entering the US. We are talking about one who thinks in extreme ways.

  2. So, are we still in a dyadic or bipolar geopolitical game at this juncture of history? Another piece of knee-jerkism and primitive Babinski response.

    So ultimately according to this overreaching scenario it’s supposed to be:
    PRC-Russia+’Stans-Iran-Pakistan-N. Korea vs USA-NATO-Japan-South Korea-Taiwan-GCC-Israel-Egypt-Oz izzit?

    Turkey at the rate it’s going may turn turkey soon. But the Allies can still agitate PRC’s western regions into another attempt at East Turkistan Republic (i.e Uighur-Land).

    Bipolarity is the stuff of the Cold War but right now, everyone’s neither hot nor cold. India may be over-reacting, but PRC has become overly chauvinistic. Time to cool the heels.

    The world is much more complicated than Modi strolling along the beach with Netanyahu. India’s rapprochement with Israel, is strategic – with R&D cooperation of high value tech. Information tech is also being partnered. It’s not a zero sum game. PRC doesn’t figure in the Israeli imagination, even though Marx was a Jew. Why?

    US and West Europe are still about 10 and 20 years ahead of Russia and PRC respectively, in high end electronics, robotics and military hardware. Perhaps the only soft spot the Allies have is in cyber-warfare, but that will change soon.

    And the most effective deterrent is actually MAD – which India and Israel are also mutually capable of, against their enemies. C’mon don’t wet dream lah.

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