An Opposition Grand Coalition can defeat the BN?


May 24, 2017

Here’s why an opposition grand coalition can defeat the BN

Image result for Mahathir as the next PM

Although the gerrymandering will continue, the significant difference is that Dr Mahathir’s new party will be competing for Malay votes in the small towns and villages.

By Koon Yew Yin@www.freemalaysia-today.com

According to news reports on the celebration of UMNO’s 71st Anniversary, Prime Minister Najib Razak had teased his supporters by asking if he should dissolve Parliament as early as the following day.

Some observers see it as a sign that he is very confident of a victory and that he may call for an election soon.However, there are two sayings which he needs to be reminded of.

One is the old saying “Pride comes before a fall” The other is a quote attributed to Harold Washington, the first African-American elected as Mayor of Chicago: “Let’s not be overconfident, we still have to count the votes.”

Barisan Nasional sponsored analysts, who dominate the official media, have been saying that the BN has more than the required number of votes to win the next election by a comfortable margin. In fact, some are so confident that they are assuring BN of a more than two-thirds majority. Because these analysts are tied to the BN money machine, this message of a big BN victory will be drummed into our heads over the next few months.

But is this big BN victory a sure thing? Going by my knowledge of politics in Perak, I wish to differ.

Tide turning against BN

In Perak, most voters have not forgotten that power was “stolen” from the then Pakatan Rakyat by the BN. In the next election, many voters will want to correct the injustice and vote for the opposition.

Included in this group will be most of the civil servants as well as Felda settlers who have been regarded as UMNO’s and BN’s vote banks.To some extent these voters have also been PAS’ vote banks.

But will the Malay civil servants and Felda settlers continue to allow themselves to be swayed by racial and religious politics and vote with their hearts rather than with their heads in the next election?

Or will they realise that both UMNO and PAS have let them down badly and are not worth the support that the two parties have been provided with during the past 50 years and more?

Image result for Mahathir as the next PM

In addition to Sabah and Sarawak, this guy is Najib’s Secret Weapon (?). Perak is not reliable predictor of GE-14 outcome. Furthermore, the Opposition is in disarray. PKR wants Anwar as the next Prime Minister. Mahathir is ambivalent on this matter since he may have someone else. Will there be two Deputy Prime Ministers to accommodate DAP? Those in Amanah also want a piece of the action. Allocation of seats will be a challenge for the opposition. I witnessed what Tan Sri Khalid Ibrahim had to undergo in 2008.

Finally, Najib has all the advantages of incumbency and the resources to wage an aggressive campaign. So brave is the man who  dares to predict the outcome of GE-14. –Din Merican

Today, everyone, except for the elite, are suffering from a socio-economic crisis arising from the mismanagement of the economy and pervasive corruption. Food is more expensive, transport prices have soared, education costs have escalated.

According to Cuepacs president Azih Muda, civil servants have ended up heavily in debt to manage rising living costs, to the point that more than 60,000 of them risk bankruptcy.

“This is a direct effect of the hike in cost of living. Civil servants end up taking up a lot of loans and this is unsustainable and they are unable to manage their finances,” Azih told the foreign news agency Reuters.

This report was, understandably, not carried in the mainstream Malay media. Neither have the numerous reports on the financial mess inflicted on Felda settlers through the launch of Felda Global Ventures Berhad.

This time, I am sure the revolt of the Malay masses will take place. And when this revolt led by the civil servants and Felda settlers happens at the polling booth, a new page in our nation’s history will be reached.

Battle for change led by Dr Mahathir

Image result for A confident Najib

Fittingly, the battle for change will be led by Dr Mahathir. Several weeks ago, I attended a Parti Pribumi Bersatu meeting at Padang Rengas, Kuala Kangsar, where I took the opportunity to renew my friendship with him and gave him a copy of my book,” Road Map for Achieving Vision 2020” which was partly inspired by Dr Mahathir’s vision for our nation’s future.

It is not only the Malay masses who will push for change. Today we have a new opposition coalition which will operate as a single entity against the BN.

Featuring PPBM, DAP, PKR and Parti Amanah Negara as its component members, the opposition coalition will also include East Malaysian parties. This is an unprecedented grand coalition of Malaysian anti-BN voters which, in my opinion, can bring about the biggest upset in our political history once it gets its act together.

In the last GE, the opposition secured more than 51% of the total votes, but in terms of state and parliamentary seats, the opposition had less than BN because of the gerrymandering.

Although the gerrymandering will continue during the next election, the significant difference is that Dr. Mahathir’s new party under Muhyiddin Yasin will be competing for Malay votes in the small towns and villages.

I believe, too, that PAS is deeply divided under President Hadi Awang, who is presently sick and unable to exert much influence. Once it becomes clear that the new grand opposition coalition will win, I expect many PAS leaders and voters to join the opposition and quit the friendship with the BN.

 

12 thoughts on “An Opposition Grand Coalition can defeat the BN?

  1. So, Najib is counting on splitting the opposition, particularly with PAS but not only. Pakatan Harapan is counting on Mahathir splitting the UMNO vote. Problem is the same strategy works better for UMNO. Aside from the fact the opposition is divided in more parts, whereas in Najib side, the king is still the kingmaker BUT for the opposition, the kingmakers all wants to be king.

  2. Mr Koon is an eternal optimist and there’s nothing wrong with that.

    It’s just that he may be talking, consorting and preaching to folks like himself. There may be a swing of Malays to the fragile, fractured Oppo, but it won’t be enough to overcome the inbred entitlement and rent seeking hubris prevalent in East Malaysia bumis.

    Meanwhile, ordinary Chinapek being leery of the Oppo ambivalence on issues like RUU 355, education, ability to reform and transform, DAP’s hubris and further erosion of their business interests may swing the opposite direction except in Penang, Selangor and possibly, Johore. Corruption they understand – hypocrisy they can’t tolerate. They may wanna be the Kingmakers once more like in 1999. Especially with PRC invading us.

    This is for the erudite Mr Koon, whom may not appreciate Aerosmith’s music – but watch it to the end anyway:

    • CLF you taking over Din’s role as DJ huh, nice change of pace what with the madness going around and the ultra hypocrisy being played out by POTUS in middle east.

    • CLF like your selection. First heard of Charles Aznavour ages ago when he won the Eurovision contest or something like that.

  3. The question is not whether an Opposition can win an election…it is (like it was with PR).. will it have the staying power to govern the country?

    • Well, if they win (I hope they do), don’t ever think of starting another heist equal in size or larger than 1MDB. How many Al Jubors can the long-suffering rakyat take? One enough lah.

  4. No. The opposition needs to learn how Bierbart defeats Eric Cantor.

    This story is really telling of how Bierbart won.
    https://www.thisamericanlife.org/radio-archives/episode/615/the-beginning-of-now
    There are just a few words that fire up some more than the others.
    What are those words.. we need to figure those out.

    Jonathan Haidt is right. Each of us just built differently. Some place a certain virtue more than the others. Love and Justice just mean different things to different people.

    • Internally, I do know there are something within my culture that irritates many Malay. Can some moderate Malay just yelled at me what you don’t like about my culture, for the sake of Malaysia? I can definitely see the sickening kiasu and kiasi mentality that plagues my generation of pendatang.

  5. How to win? MB Azmin Ali don’t even dare to kick the PAS out of the state government. Also, Opposition is still crazy about nominating Anwar Ibrahim as PM.

  6. Is the Oppo wanking off to its own porn now ?

    It’s like this. The Oppo claims it wants change but does not really have the balls to make game changing decisions because they are afraid to lose, which they very well could.

    So instead they say vote for us because we are slightly better then UMNO .

    Meanwhile the DAP is busy trying to hang on to Penang and the rest of the coalition is trying to hold on to Selangor. Holding on to these two jewels should be adequate to keep the game going.

    Aggrieved Malaysiakini readers can carry on griping online and the Oppo can play victim and hero at the same time.

    So it goes.

  7. Among other pressing issues being considered, the “grand opposition” should ,
    FOCUS seriously on the issues:

    1, the woes of the 6% GST of which the effects are now being adversely felt by the middle and lower income /business groups.
    2. making the streets safe and secure the widespread scaming incidents.
    3. jobs creation.

    because you can’ t vote with an empty stomach or pocket or feel unsafe to walk the streets.

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