ASEAN Struggles to Unify Against China


June 16, 2016

ASEAN Struggles to Unify Against China

Beijing’s pressure on Southeast Asia over South China Sea exposes regional bloc’s limitations

by Ben Otto and Chun Han Wong

http://www.wsj.com

Chinese pressure on Southeast Asian (ASEAN) governments over territorial conflicts is exposing weaknesses in the region’s ability to manage security and tackle sensitive diplomatic issues.

Those divisions were on display this week when top diplomats from China and Southeast Asia met over territorial disputes in the South China Sea, where Beijing has built up artificial islands in waters claimed by several governments.

As the Tuesday meeting ended, people briefed on the matter said discord emerged over how the proceedings should be presented to the public—between China and the 10-member Association of Southeast Asian Nations, or ASEAN, and among ASEAN members themselves.

Singapore’s Foreign Minister, who co-chaired the meeting, pulled out of a joint news briefing with his Chinese counterpart on Tuesday due to disagreements between ASEAN and China over how to publicly characterize Tuesday’s proceedings, among other issues, the people said. China had tried to compel Southeast Asian diplomats to use softer rhetoric, the people added.

Malaysia then released a strongly worded statement on behalf of ASEAN that voiced “serious concern” over recent tensions and opposed China’s “militarization” and land reclamation in the region. Hours later, Malaysia retracted the statement and said it would release a revised one, but hasn’t done so. Malaysia had released the statement before ASEAN reached consensus on a final version, the people said.

Several ASEAN countries released their own statements. The statement from Vietnam, which has clashed with China over competing claims, bore the closest resemblance to the withdrawn communiqué.

A Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman on Wednesday said any ASEAN statement that was released didn’t represent the bloc’s official stance. He said Singapore’s foreign minister canceled his press appearance to catch a flight home. An Asean spokesman said the secretariat hadn’t received any joint statement to circulate. Singapore’s Foreign Ministry didn’t respond to a request for comment.

Related Coverage

“The episode…clearly demonstrates that ASEAN’s aspiration to shape and control the regional security agenda is increasingly divorced from reality,” said Ian Storey of the Institute of Southeast Asian Studies in Singapore.

The incident also reflects ASEAN’s inability to tackle other controversial issues. A regional anti-haze treaty signed in 2002 hasn’t improved the annual problem of toxic smoke blowing from Indonesian agricultural fires across the region.

An ASEAN economic union introduced last year fell short in its goals to cut trade and investment barriers and allow free labor movement. And little progress has been made following a 2002 declaration between ASEAN and China that set out broad principles on conflict resolution in the South China Sea.

ASEAN, comprising 10 countries of disparate economic stature and cultures, operates via consensus, complicating the decision-making process. Further, Beijing has been able to frustrate ASEAN efforts to find a common voice, relying on clout and largess bankrolled by the world’s second-largest economy.

China is the largest trade partner for Southeast Asia collectively and for each individual country, save Brunei. In 2014, China’s trade with ASEAN reached $366.5 billion, or 14.5% of the bloc’s total trade that year. The Chinese military dwarfs all its regional counterparts. Beijing has used these dramatic disparities in size and power to coax some Asean members into partiality toward Chinese interests.

For instance, Cambodia and Laos—as recipients of Chinese aid—have often sided with Beijing on maritime disputes in the South China Sea that they aren’t a party to. Vietnam and the Philippines, whose territorial claims overlap with China’s, have been targets of more coercive measures, including Beijing’s use of law-enforcement and civilian vessels to assert sovereignty in disputed waters.

China has also forged closer ties with Thailand since its junta government seized power two years ago, helped by Bangkok’s souring ties with Washington in the aftermath of the coup.

“Aid is a diplomatic tool that China has lavishly deployed, particularly in mainland Southeast Asia,” Bilahari Kausikan, Ambassador-at-Large and policy adviser at Singapore’s Foreign Ministry, said in March. “Several ASEAN countries have readily and happily accepted Chinese largess, and naturally it would be foolish for any country to scorn the economic opportunities that China offers.”

On Wednesday, Indonesian Defense Minister Ryamizard Ryacudu reflected doubt over ASEAN support for a Philippine legal challenge to Beijing’s territorial maritime claims now being adjudicated by a tribunal in The Hague. “ASEAN may not take sides,” Mr. Ryacudu said. “Those who are making a fuss need to,” he added without elaborating.

The bloc of mostly developing countries was forged in 1967 during the Vietnam War by five governments, chiefly as an anti-communist group. It expanded over subsequent decades as the drive for Southeast Asian integration grew during the Asian financial crisis in the late 1990s.

ASEAN has long tried to build up its credentials as a unified body that would give Southeast Asia more economic and geopolitical sway as a combined $2.6 trillion economy that connects Asia to the Pacific and spans some of the world’s most important trade and maritime transit routes.

It has achieved some success in engaging global powers. In recent years, the U.S. and other Western nations have sent resident Ambassadors to ASEAN and joined the body’s regular talks. For the West, the region has provided a balancing point to Chinese influence in Asia.

Some analysts, while noting its shortcomings, see little alternative given ASEAN members’ nationalist priorities.

“ASEAN countries aren’t willing to share sovereignty, to the degree that European countries have been, simply to accelerate decision-making,” said Aaron Connelly, a Southeast Asia specialist at the Lowy Institute for International Policy.

Write to Ben Otto at ben.otto@wsj.com and Chun Han Wong at chunhan.wong@wsj.com

 

10 thoughts on “ASEAN Struggles to Unify Against China

  1. Yes. History reminds us that the US is a good umbrella but makes a poor roof. Asean countries individually and collectively must get their basic act together. Democracy in the ASEAN mode too makes a poor roof. Good Governance and broad based prosperity are key to our stability. We have allowed 40 years to pass by without term limits and accountability and are still struggling with basics. May be if Asean starts now at least in 40 years from now collectively we will be able to become a force in the Asean Region.

  2. “…exposing weaknesses in the region’s ability to manage security… ”

    Since you are so weak… let us manage it for you…just sign on the dotted line… now where have I heard this before?

    More treaties, more defence pacts, more weapons… more trouble… it’s coming folks…

  3. Tough time is ahead for Malaysians. It is time to start really inculcating love of country to the young generation and ensuring the Constitution is truly believed as the supreme law of the land. And drop those fancy experiments imported from far away lands and from another era: the discredited socialism (hey DAP) and discredited Islamism (hey PAS) in Malaysia politics.

  4. Blood is thicker than water. Singapore, and Malaysia have respectively shared their “katasayang” concerns. It is unfortunate that we are all walking into a loose-loose situation, for the sake of short term gain. Singapore has spoken for the benefits for all, even though it has the least at stake in this dispute.

  5. katasayang – no, it is a tight-tight situation – between a rock and a hard place.
    Should be lose-lose – just pulling your leg.

  6. Look, i think this whole Taikorism thing is getting outta hand.

    PRC has a lot of internal issues to address with a tanking economy due to over capacity, infrastructure collapse, regional disparity, corruption, aging population and environmental degradation. The Rust Belt of the North East compares well with the empty high rises of the southern coastal cities. Both are deader than a door-nail. Imagine a USD 4 trillion export earnings with a 22.4 trillion Domestic debt? Makes 1MDB microscopically criminal.

    So what does any ‘confident’ regional power do? A couple of cheap Slogans. One Belt One Road. What some of the more discerning of us call – Bull Shit! Maritime Silk Road. Another insect up the crack! Economic Imperialism.

    So what does the Chief Shitting Bull of CCP do? Up the ante on the Nine Dash Crap. Beat up the Minnows some and show who’s the Shark in the Pond. Until the Orca awakens.. PRC has many delusions – but this is a major hallucination.

    Just what hat the World needs with a global economy that is in doldrums – is a world class conflict. After all i’m sure Putin’s Rodinia is more than willing to supply the PRC with their penultimate offensive war tech (their ultimate is of course kept to themselves, should NATO come a-calling).

    So what’s new? 7th Fleet blocking the Straits of Malacca and high tech wizardry worthy of a Tom Clancy classic. And a future POTUS that is not an insipid, weak Empress Dowager, but sees herself as a reincarnated Boudica and Trung Sisters all rolled into one. Xi Dunghead doesn’t understand what pushing the envelope means, since he doesn’t use e-mails.

  7. /// C.L.Familiaris June 17, 2016 at 10:38 pm
    Look, i think this whole Taikorism thing is getting outta hand. ///

    Singapore has/had been on the receiving end of this taikorism for the past so many decades. Especially the Abang-Adek attitude of the Malaysian and Indonesian governments.

  8. ASEAN hopefully will be reminded by history. India and China used the waterways prior to the European invasion in the 16th century-before that many countries used the waterways uninterrupted. Then of course you have like elsewhere ( in Malaysia 1511, Portuguese, 1641 Dutch and 1757 British arrived) and restrictions began. If we introduce a 3rd party to negotiate, we will have problems. My suggestion is that the US stay out of the dispute-the Vietnam war was fought for more than a decade-Wars and conflict will rollback development in ASEAN region. Better to talk with China, the buying weapons from the USA arming being readied for war. SE Asia’s economy is run by local Chinese who naturally have great respect for China and are very proud of its achievements. Europe underdeveloped Africa-say all you want, today Africa’s infrastructure is being built by China-can you imagine Ethiopia has a light rail system? Talking is better than fighting. China knows that it needs ASEAN and vice versa. We have to be friends in the region….US is protected by 2 oceans and will remain afar ! Lets not get caught up-Asians must communicate and sort it out! Nothing is impossible.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s