In the Aftermath of Sodomy 2 Verdict: Winners and Losers


February 11, 2015

In the Aftermath of Sodomy 2 Verdict: Winners and Losers

by http://www.malaysiakini.com

WINNERSPrime Minister Najib Abdul Razak

The Prime Minister will likely earn international brickbats for opposition leader Anwar Ibrahim’s guilty verdict as the perception is that it is politically motivated.

But it is a small price to pay for Najib as this will help to strengthen his UMNO support base which has been advocating tougher action against the opposition.The Premier has been under siege for being too ‘soft’ on his political opponents and Anwar’s jailing as well as the PM’s u-turn on the abolition of the Sedition Act last year is expected to improve his shaky position.

Any damage to Najib’s international reputation is likely negated by the fact that Washington sees Malaysia as a key state in its look east policy involving the Trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TPPA), and as a moderate Muslim ally.

Mohd Saiful Bukhari Azlan

Since alleging he was sodomised by his former boss Anwar in 2008, he has had to endure almost seven years of ridicule. That is unlikely to stop nor will the perception dissipate that he was a tool to end Anwar’s political career. Now, he can finally say he is vindicated by seeing Anwar behind bars.

Tun Dr. Mahathir Mohamad

Tun Dr. Mahathir
This former Prime Minister who launched the whole episode by sacking Anwar in 1998 was far from happy when his arch-nemesis was set free during the tenure of his (Mahathir’s) successor Abdullah Ahmad Badawi in 2004.Mahathir had then described Abdullah’s move as a ‘mistake’ and is likely to be pleased that the so-called ‘mistake’ has finally been rectified.Abdul Hadi Awang

The PAS President has never been able to see eye-to-eye with Anwar after taking on a more prominent role following PAS spiritual leader Nik Abdul Aziz Nik Mat’s retirement. The clash boiled over during the Selangor menteri besar crisis.

Abdul Hadi is seen to be resentful of Anwar with some PAS members appearing to be more supportive of the PKR leader than their own party President.The PAS President’s supporters, however, have made it clear they want Abdul Hadi as Prime Minister if Pakatan Rakyat wins instead of Anwar and the opposition leader’s jailing means Abdul Hadi can finally move out of his shadow.

LOSERS

Anwar Ibrahim

Anwar Ibrahim

The obvious name at the top of the list, this 67-year-old politician will be behind bars for the third time in his life.Even if he serves his full sentence, Anwar will still be subjected to a five-year ban from politics upon his release as per the law. This means Anwar will be out of politics for close to a decade, making the likelihood of him pulling off another unprecedented comeback rather remote.His Family

Since his sacking in 1998, Dr Wan Azizah Wan Ismail and the couple’s six children have been on a roller-coaster ride. Today, for the second time in almost 16 years, they are forced to bid farewell to Anwar as he is carted off to prison. The only difference being that now, there are also grandchildren to be left behind.

PKR

The party formed following the jailing of Anwar in 1999 finds itself in a familiar yet uncomfortable scenario. Anwar is often considered PKR’s raison d’être and the main uniting force behind its members who come from a very wide range of ideologies.

The coming months will be crucial as the party attempts to adjust itself to life without Anwar. Worse still, the void left by Anwar may open the floodgates for a power struggle among the party’s many second tier leaders.

Pakatan Rakyat

Anwar goes to jail at a time when the opposition coalition is in a precarious situation.

 The Opposition Leader has always been the glue holding together the ideologically different Pakatan partners, but even he found it increasingly difficult to reconcile the differences between DAP and PAS.Just two days ago, he had deferred deciding on two issues DAP and PAS had been bickering about – namely hudud and local elections – until after his judgment. However, he will now not be around to resolve those issues and Pakatan will face its first test without Anwar.

Permatang Pauh voters

Anwar’s jailing means he will be disqualified as Permatang Pauh MP, paving the way for a by-election. This means the voters of Permatang Pauh will go to the polls for the fourth time in less than seven years to decide on their MP.

In 2008, their then MP Wan Azizah resigned just four months after being elected to pave the way for her husband’s return to Parliament.

Anwar was re-elected in 2013, but must now vacate his seat following his jailing today, less than two years later.

 Note: Malaysian Voters

The real losers are Malaysian voters. The two-party system is considerably weakened by internal bickering in Pakatan Rakyat. Without Anwar, I cannot envisage an arrangement whereby DAP and PAS can work together in common cause, given their ideological differences, and the erratic behaviour of PAS President Hadi Awang. Now they will start to haggle over who will succeed Anwar Ibrahim as Parliamentary Opposition Leader.Would they accept Azmin Ali as compromise? Or will Lim Kit Siang take over?

As far as UMNO is concerned, developments in Pakatan Rakyat will give Najib breathing space to demonstrate  to his party if he can be decisive (tegas) and strong (kuat) in dealing with pressing economic and social challenges and addressing the demands of the conservative wing of UMNO on Malay rights and Islam. Will the forces of change in UMNO led by Tun Dr Mahathir and Tun Daim retreat? I see interesting developments ahead for Malaysia.– Din Merican

 

18 thoughts on “In the Aftermath of Sodomy 2 Verdict: Winners and Losers

  1. Mereka merancang Allah juga merancang. Perancangan siapa kah yang lebih baik? Sama-sama kita tunggu dan lihat apa kesudahannya. Allah Maha Adil.

  2. This one load of rubbish. Breathing space for Najib? Writers can write what they think but let’s see what turns out of this conviction. History tells us sacrifice of individuals that cause the fall of evil regimes. Dictators don’t benefit from ‘killing’ their opponents.

  3. Jailing Anwar is a temporary solution for Najib. Something is brewing in umno,mic and pas. For pkr I don’t know. For the moment it seem dap,mca and gerakan are more stable. I think more bad than good is coming in 2015 for the country. With the coming of GST in april the impact is no laughing matter. I already could hear, see the daily life of peoples is not good. There must be some serious undertaking to overcome our problem in the country. Pointing finger and racist is not going to help. With the recent use of seditious act is going to be more bad than good.

  4. “… Without Anwar, I cannot envisage an arrangement whereby DAP and PAS can work together in common cause, given their ideological differences, and the erratic behaviour of PAS President Hadi Awang….”—@Din Merican.

    I COULDN’T HAVE AGREED MORE WITH THE ABOVE REMARK BY THIS BLOGHOST, DIM MERICAN. It looks realistic to predict that the PR “loose Coalition” will follow the footsteps of the “Barisan Alternatif”. Even the PKR might disintegrate.

  5. What would you guys/gals say, if i were to tell you that Master Octo-Nonagenarian was actually pissed off and said: “We are not pleased..!”?

    Anwar remains his blue eyed boy, but paradoxically, also his red eyed nemesis. He is the only One who is allowed to wallop him, as he remains the sole sifu or mahaguru.

    Jibs & Geng misunderstood expediencies, as all spoil brats are won’t to do.. But honestly, only these flurs can be so twisted, unethical and immoral to repeat a ‘Tactic’ (as Master Diam2 says). Strategy elek..

    Already Octo’s rants against the ‘perceived’ establishment is ramping up and reaching a fevered pitch. Things are going to get hotter and deputy is getting ready with his machetes and slingshots.

    So yes, Din – things are going to get mighty interesting. The Dark vs the Grey Side. The White is in Sg Buloh, ‘tanam jagung’ (corn planting).

    Meanwhile, us old-duck Rainbow Warriors will be singing:

  6. Anwar and his familily definitely suffer. But don’t forget we Malaysians are big losers too. In our anger we should unite to ensure the destruction of UMNO Baru in the next polls. For example the extra urban votes can migrate back to their home towns where BN won narrowly or cheated with several boxes of fake ballots. And personally I bilieve PKR and DAP must now ditch PAS to prepare for GE14. A PAS on the loose can only mean more troubles for UMNO.

  7. There is NO SCENARIO that Hadi Awang will be PM. Its that simple whether his supporter like it or not. In the last few months Hadi has proven HE IS UNQUALIFIED TO BE PM – technically, skill wise and you can even argue, although not necessary, politically too.. He simply does not have the skill to govern. It does not matter what his position in the party and the importance of the party is. He AND his supporters simply don’t have the skills to execute real policies and governing..

  8. I was quite amused by Nurul Izzah Anwar saying thank you to Hadi Bawang for sending a takziah message to Anwar’s family – I thought it was a sarcasm well-delivered by Nurul Izzah….

  9. Bigjoe99 – you mean Hadi and his followers actually think he is PM material? Its still another 45 days before April 1st Bigjoe!

  10. Whatever reasons , given by the commentators I feel sorry n sad for the wife, children n family. May the almighty give them strength. N guidance to go thru this ordeal. I pray they will triumph. As I believe man cuts n wait but almighty waits n cut

  11. “Anwar failed to defend himself but instead chose to attack the government, the judiciary, the prosecutor and his former government colleagues.”

    Um, yeah, that was his defence. That. It. Was. A. Politically. Motivated. Prosecution.

  12. @conrad that blogger thought he put things clearly but he overlook the fact that Anwar has always claimed that his prosecution is a politcally motivated one.

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