July 12, 2012
Malaysia tilts towards China
Written by Our Correspondent,http://www.asiasentinel.com
Tuesday, 10 July 2012
The failure of Malaysia to show any solidarity with the Philippines and Vietnam in the face of China’s aggressive moves in the South China Sea will come to haunt it. The ruling self-styled defenders of the Malay race, the United Malays National Organization (UMNO) are clearly far more concerned with short term advantage, political or pecuniary, than the principles at stake in the sea.
This week the four ASEAN nations facing China’s claims to almost the whole South China Sea – Philippines, Malaysia, Vietnam and Brunei – should be teaming up to confront Beijing, and urging fellow ASEAN members, notably Indonesia, to provide support. But in practice, while the ASEAN nations signed a collective agreement this week to spell out rules governing maritime rights and navigation in the South China Sea, it is likely to be toothless.
Malaysia is burying its head in the sand and staying silent on the region’s most important long term issues. An UMNO source told Asia Sentinel recently that the government is determined to quietly tilt towards China, despite the fact that it carries on largely covert joint military training exercises with US Marines.
Nothing of course should surprise observers given the revelations of massive UMNO-linked corruption in the case of the French submarines that should be guarding Malaysian waters but in practice are just port-bound monuments to politicians’ greed. But the South China Sea is a far more serious case than the submarines because of the implications for vast areas of Malaysia’s Exclusive Economic Zone in the sea as well as its actual possession of some islets in the Spratly group.
Malaysia controls roughly one fifth of the South China Sea coastline, or one sixth if one excludes the southwest portion nearest to Peninsular Malaysia and Singapore which is not, as of now, subject to Chinese claims. China’s overall claim is imprecise because it has never been precisely delineated. It includes all the islets and shoals within the dotted line that constitutes its general claims area.
This line goes at least as close to the shores of Sabah and Sarawak as it does to the Philippines. Thus some of Malaysia’s current as well as future offshore oil and gas production within its EEZ is at least as vulnerable to China’s recent use of force as the Scarborough shoal, which lies just 130 miles off the coast of Luzon, or the waters due east of central Vietnam where China is offering exploration blocks which are clearly well within Vietnam’s EEZ.
China however is relatively smart. It may have upset some of its neighbors with its aggressive stance – a stance seemingly the result of domestic politics in China at a time of leadership transition and when the PLA is flexing its nationalist muscles. But it is not going to upset Malaysia just yet. It is easier to knock off the smaller but closer claimants one by one meanwhile taking full advantage of the greed and gullibility of Malay politicians.
Malaysia is trying hard to be on all sides at once. It is cosying up to China in the hope of investment and tourism but also in part reflecting the Mahathir-era preference for any country opposing western influence in the region.
Aside from the possibility of China buying influence along the French submarine lines, Malaysian policy seems influenced by two factors. Firstly, concerns that standing up to China on the South China Sea would encourage Beijing to interfere in domestic politics in support of the ethnic Chinese community. So a defense of narrow UMNO political interests is taking precedence over Malaysia’s national patrimony, which should belong to all its races and religions. And secondly, and perhaps not even consciously, the assumption that the waters off Sabah and Sarawak are somehow less part of the nation than those off the peninsula, the centre of political power and of Muslim supremacy. In turn that may reflect the inability of ethnic Malay Muslims to identify with the wider ethnic Malay world of predominantly Christian Philippines and even with predominantly Muslim but proudly multi-religious Indonesia.
The Malaysian Malay assumption that all Malays are Muslims and cannot be otherwise stands in the way of recognition of Malaysia’s pre-Islamic past. This was a past which left numerous now-ignored Hindu and Buddhist monuments as well as cultural symbols. As in neighbors Indonesia and Thailand, Indian script was applied to the local language. It was also a past of navigators who sailed the South China Sea and Indian Ocean before the Chinese.
But do not imagine that Malaysia’s current leaders care a toss about either the Malay past or the Malay future. They are content to focus on staying in office, lining their pockets and imposing Islamic intolerance at home.
China is the next one setting for big shift,many biz people even in ASEAN do not know about the actual situation in China;China’s Communist Party is heading the same way as UMNO real soon.
China Financial Markets
http://www.mpettis.com/
Money does talking, principles can take walk. That also applies to Malaysian foreign policy under Najib (that is if we have a foreign policy at all).
Both China and the United States must stay out ASEAN affairs. The writer of the article makes this point: ” [d]o not imagine that Malaysia’s current leaders care a toss about either the Malay past or the Malay future. They are content to focus on staying in office, lining their pockets and imposing Islamic intolerance at home.”
We should also not be pawns in the rivalry between the US and an emerging powerful China over the resources said to be plentiful in the atolls and island that constitute the Parcel and Spratlys. Otherwise, there will be another Vietnam conflict situation where certain states in South East Asia become proxies for China and the US. This time the flashpoint will be the South China Sea. Let us hope we will not anyone’s proxy or poodle.What say you, the experts and the strategisits, in Wisma Putra.
Yes they do not know that they are in the Cauldron of boiling mud, like the dormant volcano spewing ashes, waiting for the eruption the moment it spews ‘ fire ‘ that may engulf the ocean of conflict, by these people who think that everone must come under the Aegis of The Dragon of the east, or the Pentagon of the west…
How should we the minions barricade ourselves in such eventualities ?
Najib need Chinese Vote badly in next GE13.He cant afford to offence the Chinese.
Hamid, Jibby does his mathematics wrong if he think along this logic. Communist era has gone and the Chinese in China is more capitalist than Uncle Sam now.
Malaysia’s relations with China has nothing to do with Chinese votes. It is about how we as a small country handles power relations. This is a complicated subject.
The said article is mischievous and misguided and misinformed.
The ASEAN Regional Forum (ARF), comprising 27 Foreign Ministers from the Asia-Pacific region presently taking place in Cambodia does not deal with or review ASEAN positions. That is not the remit of the ARF, let us be clear on this.
It must be recalled that ASEAN Leaders had substantial discussion on the South China Sea issue on only as recent as a few months ago.And Malaysia – and most ASEAN countries as well – has remained consistent on the South China Sea issue and is true to the ASEAN position which was endorsed by ASEAN Leaders at their Summit meeting in Phnom Penh in April this year.
Now, what is that ASEAN position with regard to the South China Sea issue endorsed by Leaders at Phnon Penh? Leaders on April 4, 2012
i) affirmed strong commitment to work closely with China to ensure the effective and full implementation on the Declaration of Conduct (DoC) on the South China Sea which was agreed to between ASEAN and China in 2002;
ii) welcomed China’s readiness and willingness to engage ASEAN in discussion of a Code of Conduct (CoC) in the South China Sea but agreed that ASEAN should come up with possible elements of the CoC before engaging China on the matter,
iii) there should not be any interference from outside the region( read, the USA).
The ARF meeting currently taking place in Cambodia cannot as a whole, nor can the Philippines/Vietnam individually change the said ASEAN position on the South China Sea as endorsed by its Leaders.
The only recourse is for ASEAN claimants and China to negotiate a diplomatic solution, which would ultimately require a blend of “principle, pragmatism and patience”. One way out of this is for claimants to work out appropriate ” commercial arrangements”, opposed to ” joint development”.
Just to remind, “joint development” presumes and is carried out on the basis 50-50 sovereign ownership of the area and its resources( Malaysia-Thailand and Malaysia-Vietnam models); “commercial arrangements” set aside the question of sovereignty and is the arrangements concern ONLY the exploration/harnessing of resources on commercial terms to be agreed between the partners to the arrangements.
The long and shot of this is claimants must understand the peculiarities and sensitivities of the other and seek out one and another for mutual benefits and gains.
Also, we all have to bear in mind that good bilateral relations can help relieve problems, just as bad relations could complicate it.
Malaysia’s relation with China (on the South China issue) has nothing to do with domestic politics. To that extent I would agree with Terang Bulan that article is misleading and mischievous.
However the article’s observation about ASEAN disunity in standing up to China will be something that we will come regret, is something that I have to agree with.
The problem is that the present ASEAN leaders believe that peace and stability is a given. It’s all so easy to ignore the immense struggle that ASEAN had to endure to create the conditions of peace that we see today. Today the younger leaders are trying to play up nationalist agendas in areas where it doesn’t belong. And South China Sea is one of the areas where narrow nationalism has no place.
In this respect the whole of ASEAN is to be blamed. Malaysia and others ought to be blamed for not showing solidarity with Philippines in its moment of insecurity. Philippines and Vietnam are wrong in thinking about balancing China with US. It’s strange how these two countries have conveniently forgotten history! It was only a few decades ago they both played a key role in the hastening US exit from Southeast Asia. By default that helped cement ZOPFAN as the organizing principle in the region.
But today in a moment of madness they are thinking of inviting the US back into the region. The present state of affairs can only lead to a lose-lose situation. This idea of involving the US or any other power should be abandoned now before it is too late. However in signaling a rejection of the US involvement should be a signal for China that it is expected to act responsibly. It would do well for China to take stock of the negative reactions caused by its overly aggressive action. Surely China must also know that ASEAN and China need each other.
In doing so it is important to remember that the South China issue is actually TWO issues rolled in one. The first is a code of conduct issue and the second is the overlapping claims.
In the first issue, ASEAN has a role to play. In fact ASEAN has set the parameters correctly in stating that the code of conduct should be in accordance with the Declaration of Conduct of Parties and all other ASEAN diplomatic instruments such as ZOPFAN, Treaty of Amity and Cooperation and others.
The second issue is a matter for the claimants to resolve with China. It is not an ASEAN issue. In fact the involvement of the non-claimant members in it is as good (or as bad) as involving outside powers. Joint development as Terang Bulan mentioned is a possible models.
It is time for the ASEAN claimant states and China to get together in the delivery room (while the other ASEAN members wait in the waiting room) whilst the US and others, if any, should wait at home for the news.
coupled with a weak military and a care less atitude of its frontmen , what the writer boldly points out and rightly so is the bad shape Malaysia’s domestic affairs are in … Given these circumstances , having an apt well worded presentation at the foreign front for policy sake is a bitchy approach regardless whether the leadership tilts on one side or the other , and is unlikely to do the ruse of embarking on a win-win situation… ‘ Prosper thy neighbour’ my foot…
US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton today urged rival claimants to the South China Sea not to resort to threats and intimidation in the potentially oil-rich waters, an indirect reference to China at the start of a regional meeting.
This is a case of do what I say and not what i do.
USA has used military & economic threats to get its own way. It has forgotten how it ‘bought’ Alaska from Russia or Texas from Mexico or Manhattan from natives by its ancestors.
There is a saying in India ‘After killing hundreds the brahmins went to their holy place river Ganga and the center Hardwar to wash their sins away’.
US talks about human rights when it was the only country that traded in slave labor by capturing Africans from Africa and using them for their farms. It condemns the Nazis for killing millions of Jews but it almost wiped out the native American Indians.
The writer of this article is not named but whoever he is, he needs a lesson or two about the pitfalls of confusing unrelated topics in a single sweep.
The fact of the matter is that there is not an existing framework on how to resolve such maritime issues that involve overlapping claims. The first step, therefore, is to NEGOTIATE…. this is therefore not the time to talk of confrontation.
South Asia is (still) a relatively peaceful region and there is every chance we can resolve outstanding issues if we are left alone.
Dear Isa Manteqi,I hear you,but alas it’s just wishful thinking,it’ll be like Vietnam War again but this time it’s Oil n not communism.Next step for them is to encourage arms race in ASEAN, their Arm industry are too powerful to ignore,you have to create markets for your products,just ask the CIA,they know how to do it,hiyaa,in the end,we (ASEAN) are just grass that the elephants trample on.Sorry to burst your bubbles.
Isa
You messed up South Asia and South East Asia.
Although it sounds logical but South East Asia is not part of South Asia
SEA MAN : I have never quite understood the exact definition of South Asia so many thanks for clarifying. But I still do not get it,,, why would SE Asia not be part of South Asia?
one tends to think that South East Asia is part of South Asia. it is not and I think there are many reasons apart from the influence of the biggest nation there, India.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_Asia