The Decline of the West


October 5, 2011

http://www.thestar.com.my

The Decline of  the West

by Karim Raslan (10-03-11)

These worries are further fuelled by the ongoing global financial crisis and political paralysis that’s slowly undermining both the European Union and the United States.

HISTORY is written by the victors. Losers rarely get much coverage let alone a mention.In Malaysia, unlike in Indonesia, the forces of political conservatism ultimately won power from our former colonial masters.

As such, the “left” – as PAS deputy president Mat Sabu discovered – has been forgotten, if not vilified outright.However, interpretations of history change from decade to decade. Indeed, there is no one “history”.

Instead, there are many and generally, it’s the powerful that get to determine whose version of events should dominate.What happens though when a once all-powerful nation begins to falter? How does it write or rewrite its history?

Such a shift can be seen in the recent explosion of writing on the supposed decline of Western – particularly American – power. Historian Niall Ferguson (right) has charted the process in Civilisation: The West and the Rest. Ferguson argues that the “West” (particularly Britain and America) was able to surpass others (such as the Chinese and Ottoman Empires) due to six “killer applications”: competition, science, property rights, medicine, the consumer society and work ethic.

Ferguson argues that the West perfected all six simultaneously, whereas “the Rest” developed only a handful or else let their comparative advantages in these fields stagnate. His main thrust, however, is that the West’s current weakness stems from a loss of faith in its own civilisational values.

In short, the West has failed to renew its commitment to its “killer apps”.The West, therefore, ought to “recognise the superiority” of its own civilisation because it offers societies “the best available set of economic, social and political institutions”.

One may of course disagree with Ferguson’s thesis but his arguments are compelling. His contention that the Islamic world declined because it closed its minds and borders is certainly persuasive, if unoriginal.

At the same time, Ferguson’s tome is a clear sign that there’s a growing trend amongst writers discussing (if not agonising) over the West’s “decline”. These worries are further fueled by the ongoing global financial crisis and political paralysis that’s slowly undermining both the European Union and the United States.

Indeed, the latest issue of the literary journal New Yorker includes a superb essay by Adam Gopnick (left), which claims that “declinism” has now morphed into a veritable literary genre – a pet topic for academics and pundits alike.

But is this really something new? “Cassandras” (named after the Trojan princess who foresaw her own city’s destruction at the hands of the Greeks) – the harbingers of doom and decline – have long been with us, even in times of great prosperity.

Indeed, according to Gopnick, the phrase “decline of the West” was used as early as 1918 by the German historian Oswald Spengler.Nor were such fears of decay exclusively Western: writers and historians such as Ibn Khaldun, Tun Sri Lanang and Sima Qian have dwelt on similar themes as they charted the rise and fall of civilisations.

Moreover, the mere fact that these books are available across the globe suggests the depth and breadth of such concerns. At the same time they also reveal a passionate commitment to the idea of renewal and reform. Ferguson is clearly a believer in the West’s capacity to re-invent and re-energise itself.

For us in Malaysia, these books – and there are countless others in airport bookshops – reinforce the sense of a world shifting on its axis, of a power alignment that prioritises China and India over Europe and the United States.

We are faced with the challenge of adapting to these newly (re-)emerging powers whilst not forgetting the strengths (or “killer apps”) that made the Western nations great such as the emancipation of women, democracy and religious tolerance.

And it is in this realm that we need writers and historians such as Ferguson and Gopnik – figures who’ll both commend and condemn with equal weight, stepping aside from mere politics.

The new geo-political landscape will demand prodigious powers of concentration and leadership. Mere rhetoric will be useless. Malay ultras and/or an obsession with bangsawan politics won’t help us in coping with either China and/or India.

History requires candour and honesty. It also demands a degree of openness.We need to be willing to accept the idea that there are many versions of the truth.Our narrow-minded views on history hamper us as we chart our way forward.You need to know yourself in order to plan for the future. Self-knowledge is critical.

I would argue that it’s only when we as Malaysians can start to engage about our collective history with the same vigour and honesty as our counterparts in the West then we’ll be ready to deal with the challenges outlined by these writers.

History – our many histories, Malay, Chinese, Indian, Dayak and so forth – requires objectivity and honesty. If we can’t deal with the past, how can we face the future?

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19 thoughts on “The Decline of the West

  1. More prophet of doom. It seems that they’re coming out of the woodwork lately. Perhaps they should all convene someplace and provide answers to their prophecies so the western nations can take evasive actions. It has to be something of a gigantic event happening to bring down the West and probably not in our lifetime. These are all worry warts.

  2. “Killer apps” of competition, science, medicine, property rights, work ethic, emancipation, tolerance, consumerism. Yes. But it’s probably the last last that is doing the West in. Unbridled consumerism and materialism, with over-dependence on methodology, psychology and rationality, without factoring in morality, rampant commercialization and a modicum of stoicism.

    Norway, despite the recent one man rampage still has the highest human development indices and it’s social safety nets are second to none. Many others have lost their Protestant Christian work ethic and the idea that ‘walking quietly while carrying a big stick’, is the way to preserving core values. They have lost direction for the moment, due to waffling political will to reign in excesses and unwittingly caused a class war by transferring many of their major strategic industries for the sake of cheap labor and of course, exporting their environmental pollution.

    Stagnation in the west, will cause all sorts of havoc around the globe. Should it decline further, there will be a return to the Dark Ages and barbarity. Don’t hold out too much hope in BRIC or similar acronyms. They will fumble just as badly, if not worse, as international trade nosedives.

  3. Karim Raslan, we are nowhere near enough to agree to collectively ( and might i add maturely ) engage about anything with vigour and honesty.

    Critical Self reflection or self aasessment is the furthest from our minds right now.

  4. MALAYSIAN HISTORY !

    Wait for another 500 years
    Then maybe the REAL truth will come out about this country we all called HOME
    Once known as MALAYA
    Now Malaysia

    1. HOW did HANG LI PO really COME to Melaka?
    2. WHY CALLED HIM ADMIRAL ALEXANDAR CHENG HO – instead of Sheng Zee aka Muhamad Cheng Ho in the original history books?
    3. WHO was really Hang Tuah and his famed HANG ‘brothers’?
    4. Why is there no grave for Hang Li Po and all the other Hang’s?
    5. WHY – Only the late Sultan Of Melaka Has a grave?
    6. WHO REALLY BROUGHT ISLAM TO THIS COUNTRY – CHINESE, INDIANS, BBUGIS, PORTUGUESE, BRITISH, DUCTH OR SIAMESE?

    The more we asked, the lesser we get and the further we are from the truth.

  5. The decline of the West, real or fiction, will have no impact on medium and small countires lsuch as Malaysia. So we should be getting an agreeable sensation when such books that paly up the Asian Century appear in Western Book Shops. These countries can survive even if they do not sweat the small stuff. But countries such as malaysia can only survive if we sweat the small stuff and get things right the first time. There is no margin for error if we want to usher in a new era of the Asian century

    But we have too much on our plate.Today eveything is priority. Education, jobs, MACC, PDRM, envitoment, Civil Service, and good governance all need our immediate and urgent attention is we are to become a country that can say that we have made it.

  6. They gave us their mind! Do you hear me? which becomes our mind says Carlos Castaneda. The predatory mind which gives us Niall Ferguson’s “killer apps.”: competition, science, property rights, medicine, the consumer society & work ethic.

    All that was free has to b bought w printed paper. Plants & seeds now have to b patented. Everything — people & things and time & space — is to b bar-coded for sale & for control. All is governed by law & finance (in small print: backed by guns & bombs). So we have to train more lawyers, bankers, soldiers & scientists.

    As for history, Sir Winston is worth repeating “History will be kind to me for I intend to write it”. So, we need to train more writers, think tankers, printers, transmitters, propagandists, archivists to make sure that history will be kind to us, as it’s been to our overlords.

  7. There will be no decline of the West as such. The current financial imbroglio is an indication of mistaken assumptions about the market system which in turn show the real problem… the serious shortcoming of democracy as it is practised.

    We have seen that unregulated financial systems lead to disaster. Likewise, politicians too must be regulated – existing checks and balances are hopelessly inadequate. How will this be done? If anyone can do it. it is the Westerners.

  8. The West is said to be in decline because the East is rising.

    If the East is not rising, the West can never decline.

    Its a Yin-Yang issue.

    Karim Raslan should study Oriental philosophy first before talking about the fate of cultures.

  9. The sun rises in the East. That’s about it.
    Ascendancy of the East is subject to knowledge and empirical science, but the East is still wallowing in the primeval swamp of Patriarchy, Caste, Dualism and Feudalism. There is minimal conception of the dignity of the Individual, much less personal liberty. Good technicians and inventors, but no great technological leaps of imagination or empiricism. Plagiarism remains an art-form.

    Japan-PRC-S.Korea are cases to point. The west is engaged in swarm and nano-robotics, while the East is still stuck with huge anthropological and mechanical robots. Samsung is engaged in a desperate legal battle with a western fruit – Apple. Comparisons ad infinitum, but the East is still lagging way behind. That’s why PRC is starting to build their heavenly space-station 4 decades after the Soviets/US. The Western data has already downloaded and being sifted for the next few generation of “apps”. What will ultimately happen is that R&D remains Western, while the Fabrication shifts East. Food production will still be Western controlled.

    I would agree with Isa that it’s mainly a financial disaster of their own making. Getting out of the mess will be painful, but not impossible. A global war, would of course help.

  10. I get the sense that the bloghost somehow is sticking to neutral and safe topics. We have hot button issues bypassing this blog, like news emanating from Paris that Najib could be sinking fast instead of the submarines he bought with disclosures that will have to be made by the government there, of statements by Zaki Tun Azmi, our former CJ of some lawyers and the reason why they are not keen on taking appointments as judges (probably referring to himself and how he resisted through the years pressures to make him High Court judge) and of statement by a Minister that the US24 million ring was returned to shipper in New York.

  11. Didn’t know Din wear side irons? Colt 45 or Magnum 357? Guess kerbau got tamed and nothing to lasso anymore.

  12. I get the sense that the bloghost somehow is sticking to neutral and safe topics. We have hot button issues bypassing this blog – scarlet.pimpernel

    Yeah… me too.

  13. Unlike other blogs the bloghost is unknown. Here’s the bloghost has his pix if full color splashed across the welcome note.
    These are exciting times in Malaysia and the bloghost have to control himself from having too much excitement. He has to catch his breath sometimes. I guess the bloghost looks at the scenario as the lull before the storm so he’s steering his ship well away from the eye of the storm and seeking safe harbor.

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